Will the Democratic Party win control of the US Senate after the November 3, 2026 midterm elections?

How likely is it? Give your forecast and join the debate on Krowdcast.

Settles Yes if Democrats (including independents caucusing with them) hold at least 51 seats after certification; No if Republicans retain effective control (including via VP tie-breaker if 50-50). Official AP/state results.

Closes 3 Nov 2026. Settled by Associated Press / Senate official results.