Will at least two additional commercial vessels be confirmed sunk or severely damaged in or near the Strait of Hormuz by Iranian or proxy forces before November 15, 2026?

How likely is it? Give your forecast and join the debate on Krowdcast.

Settles Yes if major maritime monitors (Lloyd's, Reuters, AP) confirm two or more additional incidents matching the description; No otherwise.

Closes 14 Nov 2026. Settled by Reuters / maritime security reports.