Will Solana's Alpenglow consensus upgrade be activated on Solana mainnet by November 30, 2026?

How likely is it? Give your forecast and join the debate on Krowdcast.

Settles Yes if the Alpenglow migration feature gate is activated on Solana mainnet-beta and consensus hands off to Alpenglow by 23:59 UTC on 30 November 2026, as shown on the Solana Foundation upgrade page or in Anza announcements. Testnet or devnet activation does not count, and a handoff rolled back without completing by the deadline settles No. Closes before the activation scheduled for about 14:50 UTC on 21 October.

Closes 21 Oct 2026. Settled by Solana Foundation Alpenglow upgrade page.