Will President Trump grant Sam Bankman-Fried a pardon or commutation by December 31, 2026?

How likely is it? Give your forecast and join the debate on Krowdcast.

Settles Yes if the Justice Department's Office of the Pardon Attorney lists, or the White House announces, a pardon, commutation or other clemency for Sam Bankman-Fried by 31 December 2026; otherwise No. A Supreme Court decision to hear his case does not count.

Closes 31 Dec 2026. Settled by US DOJ Office of the Pardon Attorney.